Don Geddis My personal home page Career Dates Position Location 2002-now Unemployed S.F. peninsula, CA 2001-2002 2000-2001 VP of R & D VP of Technology, Shopping Overture GoTo.com 1999-2000 1996-1999 Founder Cadabra Tesserae Info Sys 1987-1995 Ph.D. (and Master's) in Artificial Intelligence, Computer Science Stanford University 1984-1987 B.S., Computer Science Stanford University

Martial Arts In 1987 I started practicing Aiki Jujitsu in the self-defense club at Stanford University. In 1996 I was promoted to third-degree black belt. In 1994, after watching Royce Gracie win the second Ultimate Fighting Championship, I started training in the Gracie style of Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, the bulk of it at Ralph Gracie's academy in Mountain View. On May 6, 2008 Ralph promoted me to black belt in BJJ. I occasionally compete in Brazilian jiu-jitsu tournaments, and can now sometimes be found training at Ralph's academy in San Francisco.

If you saw two guys named Hambone and Flippy, which one would you think liked dolphins the most? I'd say Flippy, wouldn't you? You'd be wrong though. It's Hambone. Deep Thoughts, by Jack Handey

Bets Inspired by LongBets.Org and Julian Simon's 1980 bet with Paul Ehrlich on the future price of five metals. In particular, I find it useful -- when people have a strong disagreement in their predictions about future world events -- to quantify the confidence of their assertions by associating it with hard cash. If nothing else, it causes all parties to take stock of what they actually believed at the time, and then avoid various kinds of experimental bias by actually following through to see what the outcome turns out to be.				Open Bets US President Obama (4/24/2008). Don: Obama will win the US Presidential election held on November 4, 2008. Bill ("gichoke"/"sportfighter") Mahoney: Obama will not win. Stakes: $100. Public declaration on the Usenet newsgroup rec.martial-arts. Peak Oil (4/15/2008). Between 2008 and the year 2030, if the world's annual production of crude oil ever meets or exceeds an average of 75 MBD, then Win Ark wins. If the annual crude oil production between 2008-2030 is always less than 75 MBD average, then Don wins. Stakes: the monetary equivalent of the closing price of a barrel of US Texas crude oil at the end of the year when the bet terminates. More details. UFC: Tito vs. Ryoto (5/24/2008). Lyoto Machida is an MMA fighter with a karate background (and also a BJJ black belt). He's fighting the ground & pound wrestler Tito Ortiz, who was the #1 ranked light-heavyweight a few years ago. Tito's nearing the end of his career. Ryoto is undefeated so far, but most of his fights have been against substandard competition, and until recently he usually won via a "boring" judge's decision. I'm taking Tito, and Win Ark is taking Ryoto (against anyone!). Stakes: Win wants two 8.8oz cans of Blue Lavazza ground espresso; I'll take a 1lb box of See's Truffles. I consider this a 50/50 bet; very hard to call the winner. Go (12/23/2003). I have entered into a lifetime, biannual, man-vs-machine bet with some friends, on the game of Go. I'm not very good at Go. But others are worse.
				Completed Bets Full details are available for for summary below. Date Event Opponent Stakes Outcome 4/14/2007 Bodog: Fedor vs. Lindland "Dude" & Arash $70 Win 12/30/2006 UFC 66: Liddell vs. Ortiz Arash $50 Win 11/18/2006 UFC 65: Hughes vs. GSP Batata $50 Win 5/27/2006 UFC 60: Hughes vs. Royce Arash & Batata $100 Win 9/22/2005 Efficient markets Win Photo Win 12/23/2003 Go (man vs. machine) Scott Roy $100 Win (x10) 4/2002 Overture/Google patent Narinder $25 Loss

URL	Topic	Notes
don.geddis.org	Don Geddis	My personal home page
reef.geddis.org	Saltwater reef aquarium	Photos & video from home aquarium
jujitsu.geddis.org	Aiki Jujitsu	Archive of my last version

URL	Topic	Notes
bjj.org	Gracie and Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu	Jan 15 1996 - Sept 5 2006 (10+ years)
jujitsu.stanford.edu	Aiki Jujitsu at Stanford	Founding webmaster, mid 1990's
rickson.com	Rickson Gracie	Founding webmaster, mid 1990's
ralphgracie.com	Ralph Gracie	Founding webmaster, mid 1990's